Indicator · TLI ind_acled_events_per_100k_5yr

ACLED-Recorded Conflict and Protest Events Per 100,000 Population, 5-Year Window

จำนวนเหตุการณ์ความขัดแย้งและการชุมนุม (ACLED) ต่อประชากร 100,000 คน ใน 5 ปี

AS OF 29 APR 2026events/100k (5yr)Weight 0.5

Source

Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)

Independent academic crisis-monitoring database covering protests, riots, and armed conflict events worldwide. TLI uses a 5-year rolling window over ACLED events. Refresh: weekly upstream; TLI re-pulls monthly.

Goalposts

The 0-to-100 score for this indicator is normalized against fixed methodology goalposts. The values below define the band; click through to the methodology page for the framework that anchors them.

Score 100: 0events/100k (5yr)
Score 0: 30events/100k (5yr)
Direction: Lower is better
Anchor: Fitted to the Thai provincial distribution

Goalposts of 0 and 30 conflict-or-protest events per 100,000 residents over five years are fitted to the observed Thai distribution. The 90th percentile sits at 5.8 and the maximum at 71.5, where Pattani combines insurgency events with protests. The 0/30 anchor maps the realistic Thai distribution while avoiding over-rewarding Bangkok (protest concentration) or Pattani (insurgency concentration). The companion fatalities indicator carries the violence signal at greater weight.

Live distribution: 2 of 77 provinces clip at the score-100 ceiling; 3 of 77 clip at the score-0 floor.

Which Thai province leads on ACLED-Recorded Conflict and Protest Events Per 100,000 Population, 5-Year Window?

2 Thai provinces share the maximum TLI score of 100/100 on ACLED-Recorded Conflict and Protest Events Per 100,000 Population, 5-Year Window; the strongest by raw value are Phangnga, and Uthai Thani (raw values from 0 to 0 events/100k (5yr)). The bottom of the distribution is Pattani (71.55 events/100k (5yr), score 0/100).

Coverage

77 of 77 Thai provinces. Median score: 94.9. Each province's score is normalized 0–100 against fixed goalposts; a higher score is more favorable.

Reading the columns.Raw valuethe actual measurement in events/100k (5yr).Scorenormalized 0–100 against fixed methodology goalposts (not a percentile). Lower is better.Why ties?2 provinces share the score-100 ceiling because their raw values meet or exceed the upper goalpost. 3 share the score-0 floor at the lower goalpost. Provinces beyond the goalposts aren't separated further — that's the trade-off for fixed, year-over-year comparable scoring instead of percentiles.

Top scorers

Rank	Province	Raw value (events/100k (5yr))	Score
1	Phangnga	0	100
2	Uthai Thani	0	100
3	Chumphon	0.2	99.3
4	Suphan Buri	0.24	99.2
5	Saraburi	0.31	99

Lowest scorers

Rank	Province	Raw value (events/100k (5yr))	Score
77	Pattani	71.55	0
76	Yala	66	0
75	Narathiwat	63.74	0
74	Bangkok	25.58	14.7
73	Chiang Mai	13.62	54.6

Show all 77 provinces rankedSorted highest to lowest score

Rank	Province	Raw value (events/100k (5yr))	Score
1	Phangnga	0	100
2	Uthai Thani	0	100
3	Chumphon	0.2	99.3
4	Suphan Buri	0.24	99.2
5	Saraburi	0.31	99
6	Sukhothai	0.35	98.8
7	Sakon Nakhon	0.44	98.5
8	Amnat Charoen	0.54	98.2
9	Chachoengsao	0.55	98.2
10	Kamphaeng Phet	0.57	98.1
11	Surin	0.59	98
12	Roi Et	0.63	97.9
13	Nan	0.64	97.9
14	Chaiyaphum	0.73	97.6
15	Ang Thong	0.75	97.5
16	Nong Khai	0.78	97.4
17	Phichit	0.78	97.4
18	Nakhon Sawan	0.79	97.4
19	Trat	0.89	97
20	Uttaradit	0.92	96.9
21	Chanthaburi	0.93	96.9
22	Lopburi	0.97	96.8
23	Phatthalung	0.97	96.8
24	Kanchanaburi	1	96.7
25	Buri Ram	1.03	96.6
26	Sa Kaeo	1.07	96.4
27	Phayao	1.11	96.3
28	Phetchabun	1.15	96.2
29	Ratchaburi	1.16	96.1
30	Surat Thani	1.21	96
31	Si Sa Ket	1.25	95.8
32	Prachuap Khiri Khan	1.27	95.8
33	Loei	1.27	95.8
34	Nakhon Phanom	1.27	95.8
35	Prachin Buri	1.39	95.4
36	Nong Bua Lam Phu	1.39	95.4
37	Bueng Kan	1.44	95.2
38	Samut Sakhon	1.53	94.9
39	Yasothon	1.53	94.9
40	Nakhon Nayok	1.54	94.9
41	Satun	1.54	94.9
42	Nakhon Si Thammarat	1.57	94.8
43	Samut Songkhram	1.62	94.6
44	Udon Thani	1.62	94.6
45	Maha Sarakham	1.73	94.2
46	Nakhon Ratchasima	1.84	93.9
47	Kalasin	1.88	93.7
48	Chai Nat	1.93	93.6
49	Ubon Ratchathani	1.98	93.4
50	Sing Buri	2.02	93.3
51	Krabi	2.06	93.1
52	Phetchaburi	2.27	92.4
53	Trang	2.37	92.1
54	Phrae	2.4	92
55	Rayong	2.41	92
56	Chon Buri	2.43	91.9
57	Samut Prakan	2.46	91.8
58	Phitsanulok	2.51	91.6
59	Mukdahan	2.57	91.4
60	Chiang Rai	2.7	91
61	Tak	2.7	91
62	Lampang	2.72	90.9
63	Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya	2.8	90.7
64	Ranong	3.12	89.6
65	Nakhon Pathom	3.45	88.5
66	Pathum Thani	3.53	88.2
67	Nonthaburi	3.93	86.9
68	Lamphun	4.05	86.5
69	Mae Hong Son	4.5	85
70	Phuket	5.78	80.7
71	Khon Kaen	5.89	80.4
72	Songkhla	7.56	74.8
73	Chiang Mai	13.62	54.6
74	Bangkok	25.58	14.7
75	Narathiwat	63.74	0
76	Yala	66	0
77	Pattani	71.55	0

Methodology

See the methodology page for the full TLI scoring approach, including how this indicator's category Safety & Governance combines with the other six categories via geometric mean.

Cite as: "ACLED-Recorded Conflict and Protest Events Per 100,000 Population, 5-Year Window." Thailand Livability Index, 2026. CC BY-NC 4.0.

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